Disappointed by Hisbollah's failure to sort out Israel Iran have now decided to take centre stage in the crisis riven Middle East. We will have nuclear weapons and we will use them if we want is their message. Like their great enemy Israel the Iranians want to become a mini-superpower.

Sadly unlike Israel they don't have the USA as their best pal. Bush and co have been waiting for this moment for 27 years, a chance to legitimately act against Iran. Every since the Shah fell and the students stormed the US embassy in Tehran this day has been dreamt of by the US right wing. A chance to teach the Islamic revolution a direct lesson.

Don't be surprised if we see the first use of a nuclear weapon in anger since 1945. There has been a lot of venom spouted by both sides which won't be vented by a few minor firefights and botched commando raids. Bush and Ahmadinejad are two guys who want to fight and they are fed up being held back by the coat holders. They will do whatever they think is necessary to win.

How did we get here? Well blame it on 9/11 because it gave the US the one thing it has lacked since 1979, direct access to Iran's borders. With Saddam and the Taliban out of the way Iran can be invaded from the East and West. A prospect which may attract support from Sunni Muslims in Iraq, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia who have always regarded the Shia as heretics.

Will destroying Iran bring peace to the Middle East? No but it will fulfil another of Mr Bush's ambitions, all he will have left to do is sort out North Korea and his campaign against the "Axis of Evil" will be complete. Can Iran win? No this time the US will go for the throat, they have learned from Iraq and Afghanistan that limited force doesn't work.

What does it mean to us, possibly the end of the world as we know it. Destroying Iran will not stop terrorism, Al Quaeda are of course Sunnis. The price of oil will not go down. The World economy will be severely disrupted. We will suffer from a backlash against Bush and his allies. A gloomy forecast that is dependent of Bush and Ahmadinejad realising that they are in a no-win situation if they come to blows. Do you believe either man has enough sense to realise the danger they are in?